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central asia and the new critical minerals frontier: progress in reshaping global supply chains

Central Asia and the New Critical Minerals Frontier: Progress in Reshaping Global Supply Chains

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Author: Caspian Policy Center

07/23/2026

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The United States faces a significant strategic challenge in securing access to rare earth elements and critical minerals essential for economic vitality and national security. Currently, the United States imports significant amounts of refined rare earths and minerals from China. The geopolitical risks of reliance on a concentrated supply chain, particularly one dominated by Beijing, have long been acknowledged.

This issue gained prominence under the previous Trump administration that identified the vulnerabilities inherent in China’s near monopoly on refining and processing these indispensable materials. The current Trump administration has continued to prioritize efforts to diversify and secure alternative sources of critical minerals through initiatives such as Project Vault, the Critical Minerals Ministerial, and the FORGE Framework.

China’s dominance in critical mineral markets, combined with its ability to influence supply chains through protectionist policies or outright supply disruptions, presents a direct challenge to U.S. and global industries reliant on these resources. From advanced electronics and renewable energy technologies to defense systems, the strategic implications of supply-chain dependence on Beijing extend beyond economic considerations, intertwining with national security concerns.

As the United States intensifies its efforts to reduce risks and diversify its critical mineral supplies, regions such as the South Caucasus, Central Asia, and Ukraine emerge as strategic partners, offering abundant reserves and favorable transport and logistics, as well as a strong interest in collaboration with the United States.

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